Pages

Friday, November 9, 2012



Where do we go from here?

Given all the hype of the campaign, the attempts at character assassination, attempts to discredit and demean our president...  it is important to see what has been accomplished in the last 4 years. 

A partial list of President Obama's accomplishments: 
·       *Economic stimulus legislation in the form of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
·      *Ended  the Iraq War,
·      *Increased troop levels in Afghanistan,
     *Signed the New START arms control treaty with Russia,
·      *Ordered U.S. military involvement in Libya,
·      *Ordered the military operation that resulted in the death of Osama bin Laden.
·      *In May 2012, he became the first sitting U.S. president to publicly support legalizing same-sex  marriage.

      Much of the Obama legislation was accomplished in the first two years with the assistance of a supportive Congress.  The midterm elections brought the "Tea Party" with their own agenda. Senate Republicans  of the 111st Congress broke the record of filibusters in a session, passing 100 cloture votes to end discussionof new legislation being introduced during the eleven months of the 111st Congress.

To put things in perspective

During the Bush administration, the national debt increased from $5.9 trillion to $10.7 trillion. That's an average annual increase of 11.1 percent.  This came mostly from financing wars in the Middle East....and these expenses continue (see link below).
Bush is also famous for  removing the systems of regulation that would have prevented the worst of the financial and housing crises.  
President George W. Bush created net zero jobs with the deepest tax cuts this nation has seen in recent history.
Obama came on board at a time of the worst economic crisis since the great depression....  He inherited  a wave of home foreclosures and unemployment.  Much of the national debt  incurred under President Obama has been necessary to finance our national recovery program.


      ...To find the cost of the Middle Eastern Wars: 
          click here:     http://costofwar.com


To hear President Obama's victory speech go to http://www.npr.org/2012/11/06/164540079/transcript-president-obamas-victory-speech
The U.S. lost an average of more than 348,000 jobs per month from January 2008 through December of 2008 under Bush. The downward trend reversed course through 2009 and has been in positive numbers ever since under Obama.  Here is what he has accomplished with job creating thus far: 
Comparison of unemployment under Bush and Obama


My fondest dream for Obama’s second term is a national congress able to function.  Norm Ornstein ( Politically conservative -  American Enterprise Institute ) identifies two causes for the stalemate situation in the US Congress:
1.  The first is the serious mismatch between the political parties, which have become vehemently adversarial, making it extremely difficult for  them to function in their traditional roles in governing and problem solving.  This is partly due to our remarkable democratic system of checks and balances.  If one branch of government refuses to cooperate the entire system can cease to function.

2.  The second is the fact that, however awkward it may be for our country to accept , “one of the two major parties, the Republican Party, has become ideologically extreme; ready to abandom our traditons of social and economic policies; scornful of compromise; unpersuaded by conventional understanding of facts, evidence, and science; and dismissive of the legitimacy of its political opposition. When one party moves this far from the center of American politics, it is extremely difficult to enact policies responsive to the country's most pressing challenges.”

****The frightening thing is that there is no guarantee that we can maintain a functioning government with our system -If one party is determined to block all legislation of the sitting President our system  fails.  Our founding fathers had a vision that recognized disagreements, but they also recognized the  obligation to compromise and seek working solutions. That is what democracy is all about.

To read more: here is Ornstein’s latest book:  http://www.amazon.com/Even-Worse-Than-Looks-Constitutional/dp/0465031331

Are we going to see a change in the new term? Did the Republicans "get the drift" from "the will of the people" in this last election?  Judging from Mr. Boehners first comments after the election I am not terribly optimistic.  I think he is confused about who won the Presidency.  He is putting forth the same demands that he had before the election.

The lesson to be learned in this election - We wondered if we could stand up to the "Superpacs" - and a multitude of people making small contributions and offering their time did prevail. We beat the billionaires!  If we can do that - this is no time to roll over and let the Republicans do as they will... If we keep the voice and unity that we found in the campaign we can exert enough pressure on the Congress that even they will respond to the return to civil government that is fair and equitable. We are the people!

In this  graph below you see the number of times that the cloture has been used to block the discussion of   legislation during Obama's first term.


cloture is a motion or process aimed at bringing debate to a quick end - it is a way of forcing an end to the filibuster
Mr.and Mrs. Obama: The moment of announcement of winning the second term

Friday, November 2, 2012


Anyone a little warm in here?

We keep getting these wake up calls. 
Last year was the warmest winter on record. 
The  mid region of the United States and the west coast are  currently experiencing long term drought.  NOAA climate prediction site: (http://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu)
Evidence indicates that storms are tending to be more intense – rainstorms, tornadoes, wind storms.
And now Sandy comes to visit in the last days of October! – Unusual for the end of the hurricane season...and in a pathway way farther northward due to warmer sea water!  In the last two decades there have not been a great increase in the number of hurricanes but they have tended to be larger and more intense...again due to the increased energy available in warmer than usual ocean.

This is a critical issue at this time. We have one presidential candidate who is a "Global Warming Denier" and the other candidate who "gets it" but has been unable to deliver his program due to an unresponsive Congress.  This next Tuesday be sure to vote for the election of President Obama and Democrats in the House of Representatives and Senate.  Volunteer to take voters to the polls.  Do what you can.  It will make a difference on many issues  - and it is our best hope for beginning to heal the planet!

Our one and only planet

**Recommended reading: Put a book mark on this site! “Getting skeptical about global warming skepticism”: ...Pass it on to your friends!

http://skepticalscience.com

...If you need help answering "doubters" click here...  http://skepticalscience.com/argument.php

First an important  reminder  - ‘climate’ refers to long term changes in the environment generally detected only statistically.  ‘Weather’ is concerned with short term phenomenon – like a rain storm, a period of drought, or a hurricane. Both deniers and proponents of climate change sometimes get confused on this point.
   
Mid Atlantic hurricane - taking its energy from warm sea water
Here are some well established facts about Earth's climate:

Our atmosphere is getting warmer:
1.  The energy of the sun can enter the earth’s atmosphere when CO2 is present – but longer wave heat waves radiated  from the warm earth can not pass freely through a CO2 rich atmosphere. The more CO2 in our atmosphere the more solar heat we trap.

2.  Consider the vast amounts of coal and oil burned on earth in the last 200 years and it is not a surprise that the CO2 concentration has increased - and that it is a major cause of the warming atmosphere on Earth.
Relationship between atmospheric CO2 an atmospheric temperature
       

3. A measurable steady warming has been noted since the mid 1880s.  Most of this warming has occurred since the 1970s, with the 20 warmest years having occurred since 1981 and with all 10 of the warmest years occurring in the past 12 years.

4.  The oceans have absorbed much of this increased heat, with the top  2,000 feet of ocean showing warming of 0.302 degrees Fahrenheit since 1969.


In-coming tide - How high?

Changes in ocean level

1.  The level of the Earth’s oceans has risen about 6.7 inches in the last century. The rate in the last decade, however, is nearly double that of the last century. There are low lying Pacific island  nations in danger of becoming flooded, low lying Bangladesh experiences more and more intense periods of flooding, and large blocks of low level land in many countries is experiencing tidal flooding


Record of sea level changes - New York

Changes in amount of water stored as  ice 

1.  NASA's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment show that Greenland lost 36 to 60 cubic miles of ice per year between 2002 and 2006, while Antarctica lost 36 cubic miles of ice between 2002 and 2005.  Melting glacial ice results in a rise in the sea level. 




  2   Both the extent and thickness of Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the last    several decades.
  3. Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the  Alps,  Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa... true in our own Sierra Nevada glaciers.


Changes in Arctic sea ice

Changes in the Acidity of the oceans

Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the acidity of surface ocean waters has increased by about 30 percent. This increase is the result of humans emitting more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere and hence more being absorbed into the oceans. 

Changes in the Biology of the Ocean

Many organisms are adapted to very specific conditions.  If the sea water temperature changes by .3 degree there are organisms that can tolerate the variation... and they die.  changes in the acidity are also critical to life.  These changes re hardly noticeable critical critical to humans - but critical for the plankton, plants, animals of the sea.

 A few years ago when the "Ozone Hole" was discovered over the Antarctic - there was enough concerns raised that the  light weight propellants used in aerosol cans and air conditioners were replaced with other chemicals that diminished the damage. Now the evidence for an even greater problem grows year by year. 

Northern Pacific jellyfish (now properly called "Jellies"
The problem is that the wealthiest industries ever known on this planet ( oil, coal, ) would stand to go out of business if we replaced them as energy sources. There is no getting around it - no matter how clean the burning - these fuels will release convert carbon stored deep in the earth for for eons of time into carbon dioxide that will increase our problem.  The Canadian oil shale and coal are by far the dirtiest and the only use for them is to burn them releasing their CO2.

These industries have sexy ads that make their products look clean and desirable.  They have the best paid lobbyists, and they contribute the most to candidates.
Read all about it here: <http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/indus.php?ind=E01>



My references in preparing this blog : NASA climate site: http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/,
Skeptical Science: http://skepticalscience.com

To share this blog send this url: http://johnzlatnik.blogspot.com


Approach to climate change by scientists and by politicians